Monday, August 7, 2023

Conspiracies

The Defendant lost the 2020 presidential election. Despite having lost, the Defendant was determined to remain in power. So for more than two months following election day on November 3, 2020, the Defendant spread lies that there had been outcome-determinative fraud in the election and that he had actually won. These claims were false, and the Defendant knew they were false. ... Shortly after election day, the Defendant also pursued unlawful means of discounting legitimate votes and subverting the election results. In so doing, the Defendant perpetrated three criminal conspiracies.

- The United States of America v Donald J. Trump

This week's featured post is "The Evidence Against Trump is Unchallenged".

This week everybody was talking about Trump's January 6 indictment

Tuesday, Donald Trump was indicted for his plot to overturn his loss in the 2020 presidential election. The indictment was widely covered in the media, so I'll try not to rehash things you've undoubtedly seen many times.

The indictment is only 45 double-spaced pages, so if you don't want somebody else's interpretation to get in your way, you can easily read it yourself. If you do want to read somebody's summary, let me me recommend Marcy Wheeler and Jay Kuo.

The indictment tells a simple story: Trump lost the election. He knew he had lost the election, but wanted to stay in power anyway. So he invented and spread lies about election fraud, which he used to justify a series of illegal actions:

  • pressuring election officials either to baselessly refuse to certify the legitimate election results or to change the results in his favor (as in his famous call urging Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to "find 11,780 votes").
  • pressuring Republican state legislatures to illegally overrule their state's voters and instead award Trump their electoral votes.
  • enlisting Republican officials in eight states he lost to falsely claim to be the state's electors and cast electoral votes in his favor.
  • pressuring Vice President Pence to exceed his constitutional authority and recognize the fake Trump electors.
  • taking advantage of the January 6 riot to push Republicans in Congress not to certify the votes cast by legitimate electors.

The previous indictments were all vulnerable to the criticism: "You're indicting him for this because you can't nail him for what you really want." This one isn't. The central thing I want Trump to answer for is his attempt to stay in power after losing an election. What's more, this indictment goes to the heart of why Trump can never be allowed to wield power again: He was a danger to the republic in January 2021, and his possible return to power represents a fresh threat to the republic.


Jack Smith appears to have gone to some trouble to streamline this indictment, so that he has a chance to get a trial done before the election. That's why the six co-conspirators are not named or indicted (though they may be later). It's also why Trump isn't charged with inciting a riot, because that would raise Supreme-Court-level issues about the limits of free speech.


John Eastman (a.k.a. "co-conspirator 2") is not waffling any more: He's defending the January 6 riot as a justified attempt to overthrow the government.

Klingenstein asked Eastman whether he would have acted in the same way in 1960 as he did in 2020, referencing the belief on the right that John F. Kennedy stole that year’s election from Richard Nixon.

Eastman replied no, and added that the stakes of 2020 represented an “existential threat to the very survivability, not just of our nation, but of the example that our nation, properly understood, provides to the world.”

The Trump 2020 lawyer went on to reference the Declaration of Independence, saying that “our founders lay this case out.”

“There’s actually a provision in the Declaration of Independence that a people will suffer abuses while they remain sufferable, tolerable while they remain tolerable,” he said. “At some point abuses become so intolerable that it becomes not only their right but their duty to alter or abolish the existing government.”

“So that’s the question,” he added. “Have the abuses or the threat of abuses become so intolerable that we have to be willing to push back?”


The January 6 indictment has overshadowed other important recent developments, like the superseding indictment in the Mar-a-Lago case, or the states that have been going after local conspirators. In addition, Fani Willis' indictment in Fulton County will probably drop sometime in the next two weeks.

and Israel

Two articles I found worthwhile: "What Israel Has Already Lost" by Yair Rosenberg and "I don't recognize the intolerant, illiberal country that Israel is becoming" by Max Boot. The gist I draw from these essays is that the battle for democracy is far from over, but it's not going well.

Rosenberg points to a new willingness to demonize opponents, which he calls "an utter collapse of shared solidarity". Boot's column is an elegy to "the nation I fell in love with" 40 years ago. The current Israel, Boot says, "remains freer than its neighbors", but he "simply cannot support it as unreservedly as I once did."

but you should pay attention to this Republican vision

The Heritage Foundation has spearheaded Project 2025, a collaboration of many conservative groups that has produced Mandate for Leadership 2025. This is sets out to be a handbook for the next Republican administration, and will likely have a considerable influence on the any Republican who wins in 2024, whether it's Donald Trump or not.

There are two main things to know about Project 2025:

  • It would make the executive branch a more perfect instrument of the President's will by expanding the power of political appointees and making more government employees fireable.
  • It would eliminate any consideration of climate change from US government policies.

The intro to the "Taking the Reins of Office" section says:

When it comes to ensuring that freedom can flourish, nothing is more important than deconstructing the centralized administrative state. Political appointees who are answerable to the President and have decision-making authority in the executive branch are key to this essential task. The next Administration must not cede such authority to non-partisan “experts,” who pursue their own ends while engaging in groupthink, insulated from American voters.

So the next time there's a pandemic, Heritage wants a CDC committed to the president's agenda, not public health. It wants an EPA whose top loyalty is to the president, not the environment. This harmonizes with Trump's Agenda 47, particularly with its plans to "crush the Deep State".

The NYT summarizes Project 2025's energy provisions:

The plan calls for shredding regulations to curb greenhouse gas pollution from cars, oil and gas wells and power plants, dismantling almost every clean energy program in the federal government and boosting the production of fossil fuels — the burning of which is the chief cause of planetary warming.

If you want to dig into the details, look at the chapters on the Department of Energy and the EPA. Anything related to climate change is ripped out root-and-branch: Repeal the Inflation Reduction Act, eliminate subsidies for sustainable energy, scuttle standards for energy-efficient appliances, and go full-speed-ahead on fossil fuel drilling, mining, and pipeline-building (in a quest for "American energy dominance" in the world).

These policies are laid out without ever stating an opinion about the reality of climate change or its consequences. It's as if whatever inadequate climate-change-mitigating programs Biden has managed to install are just some irrational fad that it's time to be done with.

Bear this plan in mind if you start thinking that the 2024 election is just about Trump. Project 2025 is the consensus of conservative thinking. If you vote for any Republican for any office, this is what you're voting for. If you decide to stay home or vote third-party because the Democrats aren't inspiring enough, this is what you're acquiescing to.

and you also might be interested in ...

When a state legislature is as gerrymandered as Ohio's, a ballot initiative is really the only chance the People have to make their will known. In an election tomorrow -- one specially scheduled to get a low turnout -- Ohio Republicans are trying to shut that avenue down.

Issue 1, which Ohio Republican legislators put on the ballot, would make future ballot measures to change the state Constitution harder to pass in two key ways. If it’s approved, citizens who hope to put amendments to the voters would first have to collect signatures in each of the state’s 88 counties, up from 44 now. And to pass, constitutional ballot initiatives would need to win 60 percent of the vote, rather than a simple majority.

The measure’s import may not be immediately clear to voters, but it’s meant to thwart a November ballot initiative that will decide whether reproductive rights should be constitutionally protected in Ohio, where a sweeping abortion ban is tied up in court.

Republicans know they can't win this vote on the merits, so instead they've launched a confusing campaign implying that this measure has something to do with protecting your children from "trans ideology".


Remember Justin Jones and Justin Pearson, the two Black lawmakers who were expelled by the Tennessee legislature in April? They were each reinstated by local councils until a special election could be held. Those elections were held Tuesday, and both won reelection. Jones got 78% of the vote in his Nashville district, and Pearson got 90% in his Memphis district.


Is the Gulf Stream about to collapse, as The Guardian reports? Well, no. Some system related to the Gulf Stream might stop working, but not the Gulf Stream itself. Skepchick explains: The report results from a confusion between the Atlantic meridional overturning circuit, which is slowing and could conceivably stop, and the Gulf Stream, which isn't in danger of stopping.

Now, the AMOC stopping would have serious consequences. But it's not the Gulf Stream.


Another skirmish in Florida's fight against education: It briefly looked like AP Psychology courses would have to be withdrawn from the state.

According to the College Board (which created the curriculum and administers the test for AP credit) "how sex and gender influence socialization and other aspects of development" has been part of the course for 30 years. But the Florida Department of Education had told superintendents that "teaching foundational content on sexual orientation and gender identity is illegal under state law". The College Board announced that if the whole course couldn't be taught, any mention of "AP Psychology" would have to be dropped from student transcripts.

Friday, Florida backed down, sort of.

The future of the course appeared to be in jeopardy until, late Friday, Florida Education Commissioner Manny Diaz, Jr., informed school superintendents that students will be able to take the class “in its entirety” but only if the course is taught “in a manner that is age and developmentally appropriate.”

Nobody knows yet what that means, but it seems to me to place the onus on Florida teachers, who will have to stake their careers on their interpretation of this vague guidance.


Grist examines the downturn in the plant-based meat market. Not so long ago, beef-like patties from Impossible Foods or Beyond Meat seemed like the next big thing. But rather than exploding, sales fell 8% in 2022.

Several factors are in play here: high costs (compared to actual beef), whether or not the taste is convincing (opinions vary), and an increased focus among health-conscious consumers on avoiding ultra-processed foods (plant-based meat derives as much from labs as from farms).

Personally, I experimented with imitation beef exactly once: I used it to replace the ground beef in a spaghetti sauce. I knew I was in trouble when I started browning the "meat", and my housemates' dog didn't come over to investigate.


About those ultra-processed foods: The New Yorker's Adam Gropnik paints a more ambiguous picture: He agrees that a lot of what we buy in the store includes unhealthy ingredients, but "processing" is largely in the eye of the beholder.

The history of humanity is the history of processing foodstuffs—by fire, by smoke, by pounding and pulverizing—and it can be hard to find a boundary between those ever more hallowed traditional kitchen practices and the modern ones that we are asked to condemn.

Many of the substances that look suspicious on an ingredient list are as close to "natural" as ones that we instinctively trust.

why is guar gum, extracted from one seed, any more artificial than cornstarch, extracted from another (originally by means of a method patented in the eighteen-fifties by a British industrialist)? Some version of carrageenan, which comes from the seaweed Irish moss, has been used in cooking for centuries; Great-Grandmother certainly used the lecithin from egg yolks, if not from soy oil, to emulsify her sauces.

and let's close with something oracular

This game has been around for a few years, but I just noticed it. You can get your "Florida man horoscope" by googling "Florida man" and your birthday. Here's what I get for mine: "Florida man wearing nothing but cowboy hat attacks woman with machete: police".

Like the positions of the planets when I was born, I'm sure this says something important about my character and life course.

No comments: