Monday, April 21, 2025

3 R's

NO SIFT FOR THE NEXT TWO WEEKS. THE NEXT NEW ARTICLES WILL APPEAR ON MAY 12.

Resist. Rebel. Rebuild.

- Daredevil, from the season finale of Daredevil: Born Again

There's no featured post this week.

This week everybody was talking about Pope Francis

Pope Francis died this morning.

I have never been Catholic, so I view all papacies from the outside. But Francis was the first pope of my adult lifetime that I didn't instinctively think of as a political and social opponent. Previous popes, from my point of view, allowed Catholicism to be dominated by culture-war issues: anti-abortion, anti-gay, anti-birth-control, pro-patriarchy, and so on.

People closer to the Catholic Church can comment on whatever doctrines he may have changed, which were largely invisible to non-Catholics. The church he leaves behind is still a patriarchal institution that teaches many ideas I view as wrong-headed. But to me, the main thing he did was shift the emphasis: from policing people's bedrooms to standing up for the downtrodden and those on the fringes of society.

Undoubtedly there will now be a battle for the soul of Catholicism. Will the church continue on the path Francis started down, or will it return to its traditional role as an ally of authoritarians and the privileged classes?


Two of the last things Francis did were to celebrate Easter and meet with J. D. Vance. Call me cynical, but I expect Vance to lie extensively about his papal audience. It is very easy for unscrupulous people to put words into the mouths of the dead.

and Pete Hegseth

Back when the Signal fiasco first surfaced a few weeks ago, many people speculated that this didn't come out of the blue. Nobody on the chat treated the situation as weird, suggesting they'd done it before.

Well, now we have another example:

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth shared detailed information about forthcoming strikes in Yemen on March 15 in a private Signal group chat that included his wife, brother and personal lawyer, according to four people with knowledge of the chat.

The first Signal chat group was set up by National Security Advisor Mike Waltz, but this one was set up by Hegseth himself.

This administration is filled with unqualified people like Hegseth who are not serious about national security. Showing off for friends, family, and coworkers is more important to them than keeping Americans safe.

Remind me: Why did anybody ever think Pete Hegseth belonged in this job?

and Harvard

Who expected Harvard to start leading the academic community's resistance to the Trump autocracy? How did we get here?

On April 11, representatives of the GSA, HHS, and Education Department sent a list of demands to the president of Harvard University and the leading member of the Harvard Corporation. The demands essentially would put in the university in receivership, with "an external party, which shall satisfy the federal government as to its competence and good faith" empowered to audit "the student body, faculty, staff, and leadership for viewpoint diversity". Departments that failed this audit would required to hire new faculty and admit new students until "viewpoint diversity" was achieved.

In other words: Acceding to the government's demands would authorize MAGA thought police to roam the campus, searching out dissent and bringing in Trump acolytes to "balance" campus viewpoints. This proposal directly contradicts the government's demand to eliminate DEI programs in favor of "merit-based" hiring and admissions. "Merit" only matters if you're Black, not if you're pro-Trump.

The letter warns that the government's "investment" in Harvard (i.e., research grants that Harvard wins in competition with other universities) "is not an entitlement", and depends on Harvard taking steps to prevent "ideological capture" by any ideology other than that of the Trump administration.

Meanwhile, Harvard could contemplate the sad example of Columbia, which knuckled under to Trump's demands and appears to have gotten nothing in return. Additionally, the law firms that have made deals with Trump are finding the terms changing on them. Once you start paying an extortionist, he's bound to demand more.

So all in all Harvard felt it had little choice in its response:

The university will not surrender its independence or relinquish its constitutional rights. Neither Harvard nor any other private university can allow itself to be taken over by the federal government. Accordingly, Harvard will not accept the government’s terms as an agreement in principle.

In a letter to the larger Harvard community, President Garber went further:

The administration’s prescription goes beyond the power of the federal government. It violates Harvard’s First Amendment rights and exceeds the statutory limits of the government’s authority under Title VI. And it threatens our values as a private institution devoted to the pursuit, production, and dissemination of knowledge. No government—regardless of which party is in power—should dictate what private universities can teach, whom they can admit and hire, and which areas of study and inquiry they can pursue.

Various Trump officials then claimed the threatening letter had been sent by mistake. But that didn't square with the fact that the Trump administration then started carrying out its threats: $2.2 billion in grants are frozen, though they have been slow to announce which ones. The optics of that are going to be really bad for Trump. Cancellations we already know of stop research on tuberculosis and ALS. If you are counting on research like that to produce a miracle cure for yourself or your family, you're not going to be very happy.

Trump has also threatened Harvard's tax-exempt status, a move that he probably can't carry out within the law.

I know no one is shamed by hypocrisy any more, but The Bulwark's Tim Miller and Sarah Longwell went back to look at the outrage of people like J. D. Vance and Ted Cruz a few years ago when the Right (falsely) thought the Obama administration had instructed the IRS to target Tea Party groups. (In the wake of Citizens United, the IRS did heighten their scrutiny of new tax-exempt groups, which included a bumper crop of new Tea Party groups. But none inappropriately lost their tax-exempt status and no link to the White House was ever found.) Here's what Vance was saying:

This is about whether we have functional constitutional government in this country. If the IRS can go after you because of what you think or what you believe or what you do, we no longer live in a free country.


The biggest sham of this whole attack on American universities is that it has something to do with antisemitism. Trump cares nothing about antisemitism.

In Charlottesville, Trump was careful to differentiate between actual Nazis and the "very fine people" who marched next to the Nazis. But there is no similar consideration for any "fine people" who participated in campus protests in honest sympathy with the plight of Palestinians, or out of horror at the genocide in Gaza. To Trump, the presence of antisemites in the demonstrations tars everyone involved. The double standard here has an obvious interpretation: Antisemitism is just a club to use against the universities, which he sees as his enemies anyway.

and the courts

The Trump administration had another bad week in court. First, there's the case of Kilmar Abrego Garcia, the Maryland man who came to the US illegally in 2011 and was granted withholding-of-removal status by an immigration court in 2019. The Trump administration ignored his legal status and deported him to the CECOT prison in El Salvador on March 15, in what an administration lawyer has since described as "an administrative error". On April 10, the Supreme Court unanimously ordered the administration to "facilitate" Garcia's return to the US, where he might then face renewed attempts to deport him within the law. The Court sent the case back to district court Judge Paula Xinis to work out the details of Garcia's return.

The administration has defied that order while claiming that it is not defying it, by putting a ridiculous spin on "facilitate" that does not require it to do anything at all. Trump had an oval office meeting with Salvadoran dictator Nayib Bukele, where they each professed their powerlessness to do anything for Garcia, essentially making a joke out of the Court's unanimous order.

Xinis has ordered a two-week inquiry into the case that will include sworn depositions from administration officials, creating a record that could lead to contempt proceedings. Trump's lawyers tried to put a stay on her order, which an appeals court unanimously rejected on Thursday. More than just the order itself, Judge J. Harvie Wilkinson's opinion rejected Trump's arguments in their entirety.

The government is asserting a right to stash away residents of this country in foreign prisons without the semblance of due process that is the foundation of our constitutional order. Further, it claims in essence that because it has rid itself of custody that there is nothing that can be done. This should be shocking not only to judges, but to the intuitive sense of liberty that Americans far removed from courthouses still hold dear.

The government asserts that Abrego Garcia is a terrorist and a member of MS-13. Perhaps, but perhaps not. Regardless, he is still entitled to due process.

As Jay Kuo notes, Wilkinson is a Reagan appointee whose conservative credentials are impeccable. This isn't about left-and-right, it's about right-and-wrong.

Trump administration rhetoric continues to try to make this case about illegal immigration and its mythical immigrant crime wave. As J. D. Vance tweeted

The entire American media and left wing industrial complex has decided the most important issue today is that the Trump admin deported an MS-13 gang member (and illegal alien)

The problem with that argument should be obvious: Vance assumes what so far has not been proved. If Garcia actually is a gang member who poses a threat to public safety, then by all means deport him. No one argues against that. But so far all we know is that the Trump administration SAYS he's a gang member who threatens public safety. They could say that about me or you or anybody. If Trump can send someone to his concentration camp in El Salvador just by accusing him of something, then we really are in a totalitarian state.

After all, Trump himself has been very credibly accused of crimes, and even convicted of some. I've seen a lot more evidence of Trump's crimes than of Garcia's.


The Supreme Court also ordered 7-2 that further deportations to CECOT be stopped.

In a brief order released at about 1 a.m. Saturday, the court directed the administration to temporarily halt any plan to deport a group of Venezuelan nationals who have been detained in northern Texas and have been designated as “alien enemies.”

Again, Trump wants to make this about immigrant crime, assuming without proof that all the people he wants to deport are actually dangerous. So far, though, everything we know suggests the administration isn't being particularly rigorous about establishing guilt.

The essential difference between a legitimate prison and a concentration camp is legal process. If you can be sent there on somebody's unsupported say-so, you'll stay there until somebody else says you can leave, and while you're there you have no way to protest your treatment, then you're in a concentration camp.


Wednesday, Judge James Boasberg

found probable cause Wednesday to hold the Trump administration in criminal contempt for willfully disobeying his order to immediately halt deportations under the rarely used Alien Enemies Act and turn around any airborne planes. ... “The Court does not reach such conclusion lightly or hastily; indeed, it has given Defendants ample opportunity to rectify or explain their actions. None of their responses has been satisfactory.”


Another judge has ordered the administration to stop its firing of the 1500 employees of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Like Judge Xinis in the Garcia case, Judge Berman is demanding testimony under oath from Trump officials who seem to have ignored her previous order.


The gist of all these rulings is that time is running out on the administration's claims that it isn't disobeying court orders, based on obviously ridiculous interpretations of those orders. Before long they're going to have to either obey the orders or openly defy them.

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If you need to hear an optimistic voice, read this piece at The Contrarian by Norm Eisen.

I'm pretty much where Eisen is. When Trump took office, I anticipated a lot of the ways he would assault American democracy. The real question in my mind was how clever he would be and whether anyone would oppose him.

Well, three months into his second administration, we can see that he's not being very clever at all, and opposition is forming, both in the courts and in public opinion. The Economist shows Trump's net approval rating crossing below his sorry showing from the same point in his first term.

Congress will be slower to come around, but I think that will happen, at least partially. It will start with Republicans' inability to unite around an FY 2026 budget proposal. What they have so far

  • cuts rich people's taxes
  • cuts programs that many small-town and rural Trump voters rely on, like Medicaid and food stamps.
  • still has a huge deficit.

A lot of Trump voters still believe that the spending cuts will all be "waste and fraud" cuts that target illegal aliens and maybe some other dark-skinned people they don't like. (In MAGAland, spending on non-whites is inherently wasteful.) They're going to see that it really means kicking Mom out of the nursing home, closing their small-town hospital, and skipping a few meals of their own.

Trump could even sell those White working-class "sacrifices" as necessary to control an out-of-control government debt. But calling for sacrifice and not controlling the debt is going to be a hard case to make.


Alaska's Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski said out loud what a lot of people have been whispering: Republicans in Congress are afraid to cross Trump. "I’m oftentimes very anxious myself about using my voice because retaliation is real. And that’s not right."


Now there's data to back up what a lot of people intuited some while ago: Foreign tourists are viewing the US as a risky and unpleasant place to visit.


A transwoman runner in Virginia had to leave the girls cross-country team when the Virginia HIgh School League changed its rules to get into harmony with the Trump administration. So she did what a lot of anti-trans rhetoric suggests she should do: join the boys team.

So now somebody who presents as female is on the male team, presumably raising a new set of locker room issues. Is this better?


RFK Jr. says he will identify the "environmental toxin" that causes autism. People who have spent their lives studying autism don't believe such a thing exists, but cranks like Kennedy always know better.


Remember when Candidate Trump said that ending the Ukraine War was easy, and that he could do it in 24 hours? Well, now that he's president, Trump is complaining that the two countries aren't cooperating, so he's thinking about taking his Peace and going home.


Trump pledged to lower grocery prices on Day 1, and has even claimed success by making up completely false statistics about the price of eggs. Actually, egg prices hit a record in March.

Average grocery prices were about 2.41% higher in March 2025 than they were in March 2024, Consumer Price Index data shows. This was the highest year-over-year grocery inflation rate since August 2023. And average March 2025 grocery prices were up about 0.49% from February 2025. That was the highest month-to-month grocery inflation rate since October 2022.

And that's before we see the effect of tariffs on imported foods like coffee and fruit, which should kick in soon.


More evidence that DOGE is a grift: Musk has

spared the jobs of US Department of Transportation employees who provide support services for spacecraft launches by Musk’s companies, SpaceX and Starlink ... While the administration and Doge have targeted hundreds of thousands of federal employees, critics say the decision shows Musk is willing to allow federal workers to remain employed if their work benefits him.


DOGE cuts are literally killing people.


The myth behind DOGE is that Musk commands a small army of smart nerds who can revolutionize how government works. But wouldn't you know it? The Pentagon had already thought of that idea back in 2015 and has assembled its own nerds in the Defense Digital Service. Unlike Musk's minions, these folks have actually done a few things that worked.

Now they're all resigning.

One former senior Pentagon official, who asked not to be named because of possible retaliation, described DOGE’s wider incursion into the Defense Department as damaging and unproductive: “They’re not really using AI, they’re not really driving efficiency. What they’re doing is smashing everything,” the former official said. At the DDS, “The best way to put it, I think, is either we die quickly or we die slowly,” Hay said.


In this era where so many institutions are yielding to autocracy without a fight, I've been interested to see what Marvel Studios and their Disney overlords have done with the new Daredevil series Daredevil: Born Again.

No one ever refers to Trump during the series, and if the words Republican or Democrat were spoken, I don't remember them. But it's hard to imagine a major studio making a stronger anti-MAGA statement.

The story arc of the season is how Daredevil's nemesis, Wilson Fisk, a.k.a. the Kingpin, escapes accountability for his criminal past and gets elected Mayor of New York on a very MAGA-ish platform: New York is in crisis and only a crusading outsider like Fisk can fix it. Once in power, he uses a combination of legal and illegal power to co-opt the city's other power centers. He recruits NYPD's most brutal officers into an elite "anti-crime" squad that operates outside normal rules, then artificially creates a crisis that justifies a near-complete authoritarian takeover. The "resist, rebel, rebuild" quote at the top of the page is from Daredevil's rallying message to his allies at the end of the season, presumably setting up the fall of Fisk in season 2.

and let's close with something embarrassing

I explained last week how my town of Bedford often finds itself in the shade of its neighbors Lexington and Concord. So I felt a little schadenfreude when this particular celebration in Lexington didn't go exactly as planned.

Monday, April 14, 2025

Vulnerable Openings

The bottom line is: If the economy and the government were working the way it should for most Americans, a guy like Donald Trump and a movement like Trumpism would not have been possible.

- Pete Buttigieg

This week's featured posts are "What to Learn (and not Learn) from Trump’s Tariff Blunders" and "Reclaiming the Spirit of '75".

This week everybody was talking about tariffs

That's the subject of one featured post, in which I express the hope that we can have a debate more nuanced than just Trump's tariffs vs. free trade.

and Abrego Garcia

This much has been established in court: There was a court order that Kilmar Abrego Garcia not be sent back to El Salvador, his country of origin. The Trump administration violated that order due to an "administrative error", so he is currently in the harsh Cecot prison, which is widely acknowledged to be a hellhole.

In a sane judicial system dealing with a sane administration, the next step would be obvious: You violated a court order, so get back into compliance with it, i.e., bring Abrego Garcia back to the US.

What should happen to him then is a matter for other proceedings to establish. Whatever evidence DoJ may or may not have against him, whether he committed some crime or belongs to a foreign gang or whatever, is just not relevant at this point. Bring him back, and then we can talk about those other issues in a court where he can face his accusers and defend himself.

You know: human rights.

So a federal judge did the common-sense thing: issued an order demanding Abrego Garcia's return by a date that has already passed. Trump's lawyers appealed that order and the Supreme Court more-or-less upheld it: It did not demand that Abrego Garcia be returned by a particular date, but instructed the administration to "facilitate" Abrego Garcia's return. It sent the case back to the district court to work out the details.

Then the district judge did another common-sense thing: held a hearing where he asked the government how it planned to facilitate Abrego Garcia's return. The government stonewalled the judge, and now says "facilitate" only means that it remove barriers to Abrego Garcia returning, should El Salvador decide (on its own) to release him.

Presumably, the district judge will have to issue another order, which the government will appeal to the Supreme Court. At that point, what should have been obvious the last time will be doubly obvious: the Trump administration is not dealing with the court in good faith. It should have no claim on the "deference" or "respect" a good-faith administration would receive from the Court. Whether this Supreme Court's partisan-hack majority will see it that way is an open question.


The significance of this case should be obvious to any thinking person: If Trump can send someone to El Salvadoran prison illegally, and then just say "oops" when the "mistake" is pointed out, then he can make anybody disappear.

I assume someone at my level -- a blogger with only a few thousand subscribers -- is beneath their notice. But I write things Trump wouldn't like if he bothered to read them. If he threw a tantrum and decided to order my removal to Cecot prison, what would stop him? How would anyone bring me back?


In thinking about Cecot, I encourage you to read the history of Hitler's first concentration camp: Dachau. Originally, it was a temporary place to put political dissidents. But once a black hole exists, it has many uses that an authoritarian regime can't help but notice. Why let anyone out, ever? Why not put Jews there, and homosexuals, and Gypsies? Once they are out of public view, why not turn them into slave labor or run medical experiments on them? Why not kill them?

Trump supporters accuse people like me of being hysterical when we make comparisons between Cecot and Dachau. Sure, Cecot is nothing like the final-solution death camp Dachau had become by the time American soldiers liberated it 80 years ago this month. But it bears a striking resemblance to the original Dachau of 1933.


In other legal news, an immigration judge in Louisiana ruled that Mahmoud Khalil, a former Columbia student who participated in the protests against Israel's war in Gaza (and appears to have done nothing else "wrong"), can be deported on the say-so of Secretary of State Marco Rubio.

There is no indication that Congress contemplated an immigration judge or even the attorney general overruling the secretary of state on matters of foreign policy.

An appeal is expected.

and the spirit of '75

250 years ago, Americans rebelled against one-man rule. Another featured post expresses the hope that we can do so again.

and Trump vs. the environment

I'm sure it won't surprise you to learn that Trump administration policy tends to be pro-pollution and anti-environment. This week, however, Trump signed executive orders that slap in the face anyone who cares about the future of the climate.

One order, which uses scare quotes whenever mentioning "climate change", orders the attorney general to identify and challenge in court

all State and local laws, regulations, causes of action, policies, and practices (collectively, State laws) burdening the identification, development, siting, production, or use of domestic energy resources that are or may be unconstitutional, preempted by Federal law, or otherwise unenforceable. The Attorney General shall prioritize the identification of any such State laws purporting to address “climate change” or involving “environmental, social, and governance” initiatives, “environmental justice,” carbon or “greenhouse gas” emissions, and funds to collect carbon penalties or carbon taxes.

Environmental groups report being "outraged", but the order strikes me as being more about putting on a show for Trump's fossil-fuel donors (as well as "owning the libs") than producing actual change. The order itself takes no action, but only instructs the Justice Department to take action, adding its weight to court challenges that fossil fuel companies have already launched. It will subsidize these lawsuits with tax dollars, but fossil fuel companies don't lack for money or lawyers.

Grist points to some of the targeted state laws, and provides links to longer explanations:

That directive almost certainly includes the climate superfund laws that New York and Vermont recently passed. The statutes require fossil fuel companies to pay damages for their emissions, a move the executive order deems “extortion.”


Separate executive orders announced at the same time

attempt to prevent some Biden-era policies from going into effect that would have caused the shuttering of dozens of American coal plants; support policies promoting the continued incorporation of coal and fossil-fuel forms of energy into the grid; and direct the Department of Justice to investigate state policies that may illegally or unconstitutionally “[discriminate] against coal” and “secure sources of energy.”

Again, such orders may win the votes of coal miners, troll environmentalists, and ensure that fossil-fuel money keeps rolling in to Republican coffers, but it should have little long-term effect on the coal industry. Coal isn't just a victim of government policy, it's being phased out by the market, because it has become more expensive than not only natural gas, but also sustainable energy sources.

Nearly all U.S. coal-fired power plants are more expensive to run than new, local wind, solar and energy storage resources, according to a January 2023 report from Energy Innovation. ... Capstone [a private energy consulting group] doubts any company will seek DOE loan guarantees for new coal-fired power projects. “We are skeptical the private sector will chase funding targeting coal assets beyond potential assistance for coal-to-gas switching,” said the research firm

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Trump calls on the FCC to revoke CBS' license to broadcast, because he doesn't think 60 Minutes treats him fairly.


If you're wondering what kind of mischief the Trump administration might do with the government databases, here's an example: The WaPo reports that

the Social Security Administration purposely and falsely labeled 6,100 living immigrants as dead ... eliminating their ability to legally earn wages and, officials hoped, spurring them to leave the country. ... Greg Pearre, who oversaw a staff of hundreds of technology experts ... told [Musk-appointed Chief Information Officer Scott] Coulter that the plan was illegal, cruel and risked declaring the wrong people dead.

Security guards came and escorted Pearre out of the building.

After his removal from his office this week, he was placed on paid leave, possibly severing his 25-year career.

Whoever has control of the SSA database can declare anyone dead.

The White House told The Post that the roughly 6,000 immigrants all have links to either terrorist activity or criminal records. The official did not provide evidence of the alleged crimes or terrorist ties but said some are included on an FBI terror watch list. The immigrants added to the death database include a 13-year-old, a 14-year-old and two 16-year-olds — as well as one person in their 80s and a handful in their 70s, according to records obtained by The Post.

As I pointed out above in the note on the Abrego Garcia case, if they can do this, they can do it to anybody. Social Security says you're dead, so no one can employ you.

and let's close with something adorable

The news has been rough this week. If you've made it this far, you deserve an otter video.

Monday, April 7, 2025

Rising Energy

Tonight, I rise with the intention of getting in some good trouble. I rise with the intention of disrupting the normal business of the United States Senate for as long as I am physically able. I rise tonight because I believe sincerely that our country is in crisis

- Senator Cory Booker

This week's featured posts are "Is this a turning point?" and "On Tariffs and the Markets".

This week everybody was talking about tariffs and the resulting stock market crash

That's the topic of one of the featured posts.

and the "Hands Off" protests

Saturday's protests at 1400 locations around the country had been planned for some time. But they got a huge boost from a week of bad news for the Trump administration, which I summarize in the other featured post.

Good estimates of how many people participated are hard to come by. Organizers tend to inflate numbers, while news organizations and public-safety departments usually underestimate. Then there's the problem of combining over a thousand individual estimates into a collective estimate.

The organizers of these protests claim "millions" of participants. And that total sounds reasonable when you see police estimates like 25-30 thousand in Boston alone, or NYT reporting of a march 20 blocks long in New York.

Hands Off march in New York City Saturday

and Cory Booker's speech

The political impact of Cory Booker's record-breaking 25-hour speech to the Senate surprised me. It was a stunt, of course. The speech itself produced no direct change in law or policy. And yet it drew massive amounts of public attention and made an important symbolic statement: Yes, Democrats in Congress do realize that American democracy is at a crisis point, and they are looking for ways to do something about it.

The point of a stunt is to draw attention, and Booker certainly did. An estimated 300K viewers livestreamed at least part his speech, and the Tik-Tok stream got 350 million likes.

Like many stunts, Booker's speech was a feat of physical endurance. He had to remain standing for the full 25 hours, and didn't take any bathroom breaks. He didn't have to speak the entire time, because allies in the Senate took up some time by asking him occasional questions. I had thought he would wear Depends or have some kind of catheter strapped to his leg, but apparently not.

I think I stopped eating on Friday, and then to stop drinking the night before I started on Monday, and that had its benefits and it had its really downsides.

I believe I would faint dead away or start hallucinating if I tried that. But Booker mainly reported muscle cramps from dehydration.

A side benefit of Booker's speech was to take arch-segregationist Strom Thurmond out of the record books. Thurmond's previous record-holder was a 24-hour speech against a civil rights bill in 1957. Unlike Thurmond, who resorted to reading the phone book at one point, Booker remained on-topic and empassioned right up to the end.

That's due largely to the changing times, I think. Thurmond was filibustering, so the time he took up was an end in itself. While Booker did interrupt the business of the Senate for 25 hours, there was no particular action he intended to delay. He was trying to build and hang onto a worldwide audience, an impossibility in 1957.

and Wisconsin voters' rejection of Elon

A number of election were held Tuesday. The most significant was for a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court. Liberals achieved a 4-3 majority on the court two years ago, and had begun to undo a gerrymander that had put the Republican leadership of the legislature virtually beyond the reach of voters. Wisconsin's congressional districts are similarly gerrymandered, so that the evenly divided state sends 6 Republicans and only 2 Democrats to the U. S. House. If the conservative had won, flipping the court to a 4-3 conservative majority, that gerrymander would likely have remained.

Elon Musk made himself a major issue in the election by contributing quantities of money variously reported in the $20-25 million range. His contributions were controversial and possibly illegal: He gave voters $100 each to sign a petition denouncing "activist judges", and offered two million-dollar checks to voters who came to a rally he headlined in Green Bay. Musk claimed "the future of civilization" hung on the outcome of this election.

But apparently Wisconsin voters don't want the richest many in the world choosing their judges: the Trump/Musk candidate lost 55%-45%.


Tuesday's other elections are harder to interpret. Two special elections for Florida congressional seats went to the Republicans, but only by about half the 30-point margin Trump had in those districts in November. Democrats may take encouragement from those elections -- and Republicans whose districts were only +15 in November may get anxious -- but a loss is still a loss.

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Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia was granted protected status by an immigration judge in 2019, so the government has been specifically barred from sending him back to El Salvador, where he says he would be in danger. The government has claimed that he is in the infamous MS-13 gang, but has never presented evidence supporting that claim.

Nonetheless, Garcia got pulled over while driving on March 12 (his 5-year-old in the back seat) and was sent to the gulag in El Salvador where the administration has been dumping immigrants it doesn't like. The government has acknowledged the mistake in court (and the lawyer who acknowledged this obvious fact has been put on leave).

[Judge Paula] Xinis on Sunday wrote in a legal opinion that allegations against Abrego were “vague” and “uncorroborated” –– and that in any case, he was under protected status.

“As defendants acknowledge, they had no legal authority to arrest him, no justification to detain him, and no grounds to send him to El Salvador — let alone deliver him into one of the most dangerous prisons in the Western Hemisphere,” she wrote.

She ordered him returned to the US by today, which the Trump administration is refusing to do while it appeals her order. Absurdly, they claim that Garcia is now out of their control, since they do not run El Salvador. If this claim is allowed, it puts a loophole in everyone's rights. Trump could arrest me or you, send us to El Salvador, and then claim it made a "mistake" that can't be rectified.

In one featured post I covered how Fox News has played down the stock-market collapse. Here's how Fox handled this story: Numerous Fox hosts have argued that Garcia is just one guy, and he's an immigrant anyway, and Trump's people claim (without evidence) he's part of a criminal gang, so it doesn't matter.


It turns out there's an internal reason why the Trump administration keeps running afoul of judges, and it has nothing to do with judicial bias.

In previous administrations (even Trump's first administration), the Office of Legal Counsel at the Department of Justice has been powerful. Essentially, it's been the executive branch's internal Supreme Court, the ultimate within-the-administration authority on what the law says or allows. OLC reports are technical and sometimes secret, so they usually slide under most voters' radar. But occasionally some have drawn attention, like during the Bush-43 administration when OLC came up with creative readings of the law to justify torture.

The head of OLC is a political appointee, so it's not like OLC has ever been completely independent of the White House. For the most part, it's going to give the president the most favorable opinion it can justify. Nonetheless, OLC is made up of lawyers who have certain professional standards. They don't like being pushed to frame opinions so far out of line that judges will sanction administration lawyers who make those arguments in court.

That's why it's significant that the Trump administration has downgraded the OLC. Trump still has not named the OLC's head, and the office has not vetted Trump's executive orders for legality. It's part of the larger pattern: No one should tell Trump that he can't do what he wants to do, even if it's illegal.


This looks ominous:

The Pentagon has sent at least six B-2 bombers – 30% of the US Air Force’s stealth bomber fleet – to the Indian Ocean island of Diego Garcia, in what analysts have called a message to Iran as tensions once again flare in the Middle East. ... Images taken by private satellite imaging company Planet Labs on Tuesday show the six US bombers on the tarmac on the island, as well as shelters that could possibly conceal others.

Maybe this is a ramping up of the campaign against the Houthis in Yemen, which the US attacked in mid-March. But it might be something else:

Trump has also been pushing Iran to make a deal over its nuclear capabilities, saying on March 19 that he would give Tehran two months to come to an agreement or face the consequences. There “are two ways Iran can be handled: militarily, or you make a deal."

The Eyes Only blog adds this bit of interpretation:

the B-2 isn’t just any bomber. It’s the only US aircraft certified to carry the GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator, a 30,000-pound bunker-busting message written in steel and fire. That’s tailor-made for Iran’s deeply buried nuclear sites in places like Natanz and Fordow.

and let's close with something useless

In addition to all the news-relevant topics I have to research to write this blog, you probably have no idea how much totally useless knowledge I accumulate along the way. This week I learned that the word ritzy derives from a man's name: César Ritz was a Swiss businessman who founded the Ritz hotels, which became synonymous with luxury.

He opened The Ritz in Paris in 1898, and shortly afterward the upscale Carlton Hotel in London. The North American rights to the Ritz-Carlton brand was franchised to Albert Keller, who opened New York's Ritz-Carlton Hotel in 1911.

The Ritz cracker appears to have no direct connection to either the hotels or César Ritz. In 1919, Nabisco bought Jackson Cracker company of Jackson, Michigan, which made a precursor of the Ritz. That cracker got rebranded as Ritz during the Depression, as part of a marketing plan to make it seem luxurious. (Apparently, in that less litigious age, the Ritz hotels didn't sue.) The Ritz cracker also appears to be the first beneficiary of a movie marketing tie-in: Walt Disney included a box of Ritz crackers in Mickey's Surprise Party in 1939. The Wikipedia article does not mention whether Walt got paid to do this.

Monday, March 31, 2025

No Jokes

I don't make jokes. I just watch the government and report the facts.

- Will Rogers

This week's featured post is "How Bad Was the Signal Fiasco?"

This week everybody was talking about the Signal leak

Last Monday, Atlantic editor Jeffrey Goldberg revealed that he had been accidentally included on a Signal group chat where Defense Secretary Hegseth narrated an imminent and then ongoing attack on the Houthi rebels in Yemen.

Ordinarily, I wouldn't devote a featured post to an event that had been getting so much coverage all week long, figuring that I'd just be repeating stuff you've already heard. But much of the coverage has been more confusing than enlightening, and Trump administration officials have taken advantage of the complexity of their blundering to deflect responsibility for any wrongdoing at all. Also, having once had a Top Secret clearance myself, I have some background many commentators don't.

So the featured post tries to sort this fiasco out, beginning with the observation that a whole lot had gone wrong before Goldberg ever got there, and ending with another blogger's fascinating theory about how Goldberg's invitation might not have been accidental at all.


And I forgot to mention that Hegseth has brought his wife to high-level meeting with foreign military leaders where sensitive information was discussed. He is not a serious person. My late wife had clearances I lacked, and never told me what went on in meetings where I wouldn't have been welcome. Couples all over the government operate in this way, respecting the commitments they have made to their country.

I have heard a snide comment about what Jennifer Hegseth was doing at these meetings: She was Pete's designated driver.


While I'm entertaining snide comments, here's David Roberts:

The most obvious lesson to draw from the leaked Signal chat is that these people really are morons. It's not a public act, it's not a schtick, there's not some secret back room where they drop the facade. They are genuinely stupid, incompetent people.

and special elections

We don't usually think of odd-numbered years as election years, but some important votes are happening tomorrow: two special elections in Florida to replace congresspeople nominated for Trump's cabinet, and a state supreme court election in Wisconsin that Elon Musk has been spending millions to buy.

When Trump nominated Republican Representatives Matt Gaetz attorney general and Mike Waltz national security adviser, it didn't seem like a big risk. (Gaetz eventually withdrew in response to scandal.) Both come from bright-red districts, so the special elections to replace them should have given Republicans no trouble. And that appears to be true for Gaetz' district (FL-1), which Gaetz won 66%-34% in 2024. But Waltz' district (FL-6), which Waltz won by almost exactly the same margin, is unexpectedly close in recent polls.

Polling always predicts more upsets than actually materialize, so I'll be surprised if the GOP doesn't hold on to both seats. But even a close election will send a shot across the bow of Republicans who so far have been slavishly loyal to Trump. If a +33 district suddenly produces a +5 result, any Republican in a +20-or-less district should be alarmed.

Trump apparently is worried: He withdrew the nomination of a third Republican congressperson, Elise Stefanik, to be UN ambassador. He explained:

With a very tight Majority, I don’t want to take a chance on anyone else running for Elise’s seat.

Stefanik won in 2024 by 24%. So Trump's caution reflects his knowledge that the tide has shifted against him.

If Republicans in Congress are reading the tea leaves similarly, they may be less inclined to support the GOP's budget proposal for FY 2026, which calls for massive cuts in Medicaid and food stamps to pay for massive tax cuts for billionaires -- and still includes a huge deficit. Many Republicans are from rural districts where large numbers of Republican voters rely on Medicaid and food stamps. MAGA supporters who believed claims that Trump and Musk were only targeting "waste and fraud" are going to be surprised to discover that their own benefits are in danger.


Another important election is for a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court. The Court only swung to a liberal majority two years ago, when Janet Protasiewicz won a surprisingly resounding victory. Subsequently, the Court ordered legislative maps redrawn, undoing an extreme Republican gerrymander that had locked in a Republican majority in what is ordinarily a swing state. As a result, Democrats picked up 14 seats in the 2024 elections. In 2026 they might have a legitimate shot at gaining control of the legislature.

That's why Elon Musk has poured at least $17 million into the election, including some spending that appears illegal.

Speaking at a rally Sunday night, Musk said "we just want judges to be judges", before handing out two $1m (£750,000) cheques to voters who had signed a petition to stop "activist" judges.

[Wisconsin Attorney General Josh] Kaul had tried to argue the giveaway was an illegal attempt buy votes. Musk's lawyers, in response, argued that Kaul is "restraining Mr Musk's political speech and curtailing his First Amendment rights".

If that's not illegal, it ought to be.

However, Musk himself has become so unpopular that his attempt to buy the supreme court seat for the conservative may work in favor of the liberal candidate. After all, what does the world's richest man hope to gain from the Wisconsin Supreme Court that makes it worth this kind of investment?

We'll see tomorrow how it all plays out.


Last week, a Democrat won a Pennsylvania state senate seat that Republicans had held for nearly a century. Trump had gotten 57% of the vote there last November. James Malone seems to have tried to nationalize his election, running against Trump as much as against his opponent.

Everyday voters are not liking what they’re seeing at the federal level, they don’t like the chaos. We want to be sure that we, as Pennsylvania, are standing up for our neighbors and are standing up for our state.

and the battles between Trump and the courts

There are so many cases I can't keep track of them all. The NYT maintains a categorized list, if there's a particular case or issue you're trying to follow. So does Just Security.

I'm following the challenge to Trump's invocation of the Alien Enemies Act, which is the justification he has used for taking non-citizens off the streets and flying them to a gulag in El Salvador with no due process. As I explained last week: Once they create a hole in habeas corpus rights, anybody can vanish down that hole. If there is some circumstance where they don't have to explain why they've arrested somebody, nothing stops them from falsely claiming you're in that circumstance. You may have proof that they're lying about you, but who cares? You won't get a hearing where you could show your proof to somebody with the power to set you free.

A district judge has issued a temporary restraining order against using the Alien Enemies Act to deport people. That order has been upheld by an appellate court.

The argument in a nutshell: The AEA is a wartime law, and we're not at war against Venezuela. Saying we are at war requires taking literally Trump's rhetorical characterization of undocumented immigration as an "invasion". Trump argues back: It's up to the president, not the courts, to decide whether we're being invaded.

How I hope it turns out: If "invasion" is a close call, the president gets to decide. But if the president's claim is purely a pretext for claiming the emergency powers in the AEA, a court can overrule him. Trump's claim is a pretext, so I hope his executive order gets struck down.

Anyway, the administration has asked the Supreme Court to void the TRO and let the deportations-without-due-process resume.

The appeal goes first to Chief Justice Roberts. Tomorrow, he will receive a response to the government's filing from lawyers for five migrants facing removal. From there he'll decide whether to make a ruling, hold some hearings, or involve the whole court.

and RFK Jr.'s war on vaccination

Dr. Peter Marks, who has been the top NIH official regulating vaccines under presidents from both parties, and oversaw the Operation Warp Speed push to get a Covid vaccine during Trump's first term, has been forced out. He wrote a damning resignation letter.

It has become clear that truth and transparency are not desired by the secretary [i.e. HHS Secretary RFK Jr.], but rather he wishes subservient confirmation of his misinformation and lies.

NPR comments:

The abrupt departure comes as concern has been mounting among many public health experts about moves involving vaccines under Kennedy, who has questioned vaccine safety and effectiveness. Independent federal vaccine advisory committees have been postponed and cancelled, the National Institutes of Health has terminated research on vaccines and a vaccine critic has been picked to conduct a controversial study about vaccines and autism – a link that has long been debunked.

Marks cited special worry about the ongoing measles outbreak in Texas, which has now grown to at least 400 cases. Measles can cause a long list of potentially serious complications and the vaccines provide strong, safe protection, Marks said. Kennedy has promoted alternative treatments during the Texas outbreak.

"Undermining confidence in well-established vaccines that have met the high standards for quality, safety, and effectiveness that have been in place for decades at FDA is irresponsible, detrimental to public health, and a clear danger to our nation's health, safety. and security," Marks wrote in his resignation letter to Sara Brenner, acting commissioner of food and drugs.


About that "vaccine critic" who has been "picked to conduct a controversial study about vaccines and autism"? That line understates the issue.

“It seems the goal of this administration is to prove that vaccines cause autism, even though they don’t,” said Alison Singer, president of the Autism Science Foundation, a nonprofit organization that funds autism research. “They are starting with the conclusion and looking to prove it. That’s not how science is done.”


Maybe you didn't care when bird flu just affected birds. Maybe you still didn't care when you realized that chickens are birds, so egg prices would go up. Well, now it's infecting cats. Care yet?

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I picked this week's quote and title before Trump's NBC interview on Sunday, where he said that he's "not joking" about trying for a third term.


One of this week's sorriest stories was J.D. Vance's trip to Greenland. Originally, he and his wife were going to do a photo-op tour of the island and promote the idea that Greenland should want to be taken over by the United States. But things didn't work out.

U.S. officials went door to door in Greenland’s capital of Nuuk looking for residents who wanted to greet the second lady, Jesper Steinmetz from Denmark’s TV 2 reported. But everywhere they went, they were rejected. The unwelcoming response forced the second lady to change her plans, Steinmetz said, ahead of her arrival with Vice President JD Vance on Friday.

So instead, the Vances along with national security adviser Mike Waltz and his wife made a quick trip to the American military base in Greenland. They stayed for three hours, saw nothing of the island, met none of the locals, and then gave them this advice:

I think that you'd be a lot better … coming under the United States' security umbrella than you have been under the Denmark security umbrella

Tyranny expert Timothy Snyder unpacks all this. First, if you take the NATO treaty seriously, Greenland is ALREADY under the US security umbrella by virtue of its relationship with our on-paper ally Denmark. We used to have more bases on the island and more troops manning them, but Denmark did not kick them out; we chose to reduce our force. From there, things just get dumber.

The American imperialism directed towards Denmark and Canada is not just morally wrong. It is strategically disastrous. The United States has nothing to gain from it, and much to lose. There is nothing that Americans cannot get from Denmark or Canada through alliance. The very existence of the base at Pituffik shows that. Within the atmosphere of friendship that has prevailed the last eighty years, all of the mineral resources of Canada and Greenland can be traded for on good terms, or for that matter explored by American companies. The only way to put all of this easy access in doubt was to follow the course that Musk-Trump have chosen: trade wars with Canada and Europe, and the threat of actual wars and annexations.


and let's close with an advertisement for myself

Friends at a local retirement home asked me to speak at their forum, which I did Tuesday, on the topic "Nurturing a Healthier Relationship to the News". Here's the video. If you watch it, you may recognize a bunch of the ideas from last week's featured post.

Monday, March 24, 2025

Staring at the Wall

Every time I open my phone to read the news, I kind of just stare at the wall for 10 minutes. It's horrifying what they're doing, not only to the trans community, but also to migrants, to communities of color, to so many marginalized communities that are being systematically targeted by the new administration and having protections revoked. It's cartoonishly evil.

- Vivian Jenna Wilson, Elon Musk's trans daughter

This week's featured post is "Politics in the Attention Economy".

This week everybody was talking about the rule of law

From the moment Trump took office, the big question has been whether his administration would obey court orders. We may be about to find out. Federal Judge James Boasberg ordered that the planes of Venezuelans being renditioned to El Salvador not take off, or be turned around if they had not yet landed. But prisoners were delivered to El Salvador all the same. Now he's trying to get the government to tell him when exactly the planes took off and landed, and he's being stonewalled. (More about that case below.)

Trump's lawyers are claiming that they didn't violate the court order, but their arguments are flimsy. Jack Goldsmith, the former head of George W. Bush's Office of Legal Counsel inside the Justice Department, described the lawyers as "playing games that verge on defiance". Goldsmith's article is a good summary of the legal issues in the case.

Openly defying court orders -- especially a Supreme Court order -- is a clear line that would define Trump as an autocrat.


There's a fundamental fact about rights that I don't think most Americans understand. I was writing about it during the Bush administration, when "enemy combatants" were being whisked away into military custody, and it comes up again now: If there is anybody who doesn't have habeas corpus rights, then nobody has rights.

This comes up now because of the alleged Venezuelan gangsters that the Trump administration took off the streets and flew to a prison in El Salvador. Trump's supporters want the debate to be about whether or not these are bad guys, as in "Why are you taking the side of immigrant gangsters who victimize law-abiding American citizens?"

And who knows? Maybe they are bad guys. (Or maybe not.) Maybe we are all safer because they're locked up. But that's not the most important issue here.

Imagine, just for a moment, that somebody scooped you up and put you on a plane to be imprisoned in El Salvador. Probably your first reaction to that suggestion is "That could never happen because I'm an American citizen. They couldn't do that to me."

And you're right: They couldn't do it legally. But what if your name wound up on a list either by mistake or because you have an enemy somewhere inside the Trump administration or because some ICE officer was too enthusiastic about rounding people up? What if you were put on that plane without a hearing, the way the supposed gang members were? When would you have had a chance to offer evidence that you are an American citizen?

If the answer is "never", then yes, they can do it to you. Because who stops them?

Habeas corpus means that anybody who is imprisoned has a right to state their case to somebody who is (1) impartial between the prisoner and his accusers, and (2) has the power to order the prisoner's release.

If there's a loophole in habeas corpus, then anybody -- literally anybody -- can vanish down that hole.


The Homeland Security Department is firing the people who worry about stuff like that: 100 people from three oversight offices have been let go.

“These offices have obstructed immigration enforcement by adding bureaucratic hurdles and undermining DHS’s mission,” DHS spokesperson Tricia McLaughlin said in a statement. “Rather than supporting law enforcement efforts, they often function as internal adversaries that slow down operations.“

That's the problem in a nutshell: Inside the Trump administration, human rights like habeas corpus are "bureaucratic hurdles". If the immigration enforcement people want to do something illegal, nobody should slow that operation down.


The administration seems to be obeying court orders to rehire many of the government workers it fired. Some are returning to the job, some have been put on administrative leave, and others are still waiting to hear.

When a probationary worker goes from being fired to being on leave, that may not look like much of a victory. But the bureaucratic fiction behind the firing was that the workers were all fired "for cause", which means they would be ineligible to collect unemployment benefits. So rather than being cut off from all income, they're getting their regular paycheck again.

It's worth pointing out that in the name of "government efficiency", we're paying people to stay home. Also, many of the contracts DOGE has cancelled will eventually have to be paid for. When all is said and done, I wonder if Musk isn't costing taxpayers money rather than saving us money.


Vox' Ian Millhiser says that of the 132 lawsuits against the Trump administration, you should watch two: the ones about impoundment and birthright citizenship.

No competent lawyer, and certainly no reasonable judge, could conclude that Trump’s actions in either case are lawful. There is no serious debate about what the Constitution says about either issue. If the Court rules in favor of Trump in either case, it’s hard to imagine the justices offering any meaningful pushback to anything Trump wants to do.


MAGA folks sometimes claim they have nothing against immigrants, just illegal immigrants. But why then is Trump shutting down avenues for legal immigration? Friday, DHS announced that (as of April 24) it is revoking the legal status of half a million Haitians, Nicaraguans and Venezuelans who came here as part of a Biden-administration humanitarian parole program. Participants had to have US sponsors. They were granted work permits and a two-year parole from deportation.

Like so many Trump actions, this order is needlessly cruel. These people did nothing wrong, trusted US government promises, and made plans accordingly. Many of them presumably have jobs and leases. Trump could have just waited for their two-year paroles expire. But no, they have a month to leave the country.


Guardian columnist Nesrine Malik described "the imperial boomerang effect":

[T]echniques developed to repress colonised territories and peoples will, in time, inevitably be deployed at home. Repressive policing, methods of detention and controlling dissent, forcing humans to produce goods and services for overlords in the metropolis, or even mass enslavement and killing: all “boomerang” back into that metropolis. First, they are used against those who are seen as inferior; then, they are deployed even against those citizens with full rights and privileges if they dare to question authority. In short, the remote other eventually becomes the intimate familiar.

and Social Security

Since my wife made more money in her career than I did, I am eligible for higher Social Security benefits as her survivor than on my own employment record. The system is swamped because the SSA is understaffed, so I had to spend a lot of time on hold when I applied over the phone in February. But at least I was home and able to do other things while I waited.

Thank God I got that done before the new rules kicked in:

The Social Security Administration (SSA) says it will no longer allow beneficiaries and those applying for Social Security to confirm their identity over the phone and will instead require that they do so online or in person at a local office to complete the application process.

Simultaneously, SSA is closing local offices and firing staff.

In 2023 about 119,000 people visited local Social Security offices daily to get help or receive services. The SSA announced plans last month to reduce its workforce by 12 percent, from about 57,000 employees to 50,000, and multiple offices have been closed in recent weeks, according to the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), the office established by President Donald Trump to slash federal spending. ... SSA staffing was already near a 50-year low when the agency initiated the planned reductions.

The Popular Information blog draws the obvious conclusion:

The combination of fewer workers, fewer offices, and a massive increase in the demand for in-person services could sabotage the Social Security system — effectively denying many Americans the benefits they are due.


According to MAGA propaganda, Democrats are out of touch with ordinary Americans. Well, listen to this: Billionaire Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick suggests that the best way to find fraudsters in the Social Security system would be to just not send out checks some month.

Let's say Social Security didn't send out their checks this month. My mother-in-law, who is 94, she wouldn't call and complain. She just wouldn't. She'd think something got messed up, and she'll get it next month. A fraudster always makes the loudest noise, screaming, yelling and complaining.

Elon [Musk] knows this by heart. Anyone who's been in the payment system and the process system knows the easiest way to find a fraudster is to stop payments and listen. Because whoever screams is the one stealing!

Before Social Security, elderly Americans were more likely than any other age group to be living in poverty. (Elderly and disabled poverty are the most hopeless kinds, because your earning prospects are so low.) Now they are the least likely to be poor. That's what Social Security has meant to America.

But if you're a billionaire like Lutnick, or a centi-billionaire like Musk, you find it hard to imagine that a check not arriving some month might mean that you don't get to eat, or that you might care enough about not eating that you might complain. Those are the kind of people who are running our country now.

and sabotaging the US tourism industry

Becky Burke from Wales was on a backpacking trip across North America when she was arrested by ICE and held for 19 days. Then she was taken to an airport in leg irons and sent home to the UK. Her crime? She did housework in exchange for a free room, which apparently broke the no-employment condition of her tourist visa.

How many tourist dollars does the US lose every time there's a story like this?

Similar stories are being told by Germans.

Here's another story, this time from a Canadian: Nathan Kalman-Lamb, a sociology professor at the University of New Brunswick. Having previously been denied entry to the US, he went through the bureaucratic steps necessary to be assured of admittance, which included an interview with someone from the State Department. This time he was detained for three hours and thoroughly searched, causing him to miss his flight.

Both times, Kalman-Lamb was coming to the US to promote his new book The End of College Football. Exploitation of college athletes has been his special focus in recent years.

Kalman-Lamb's crime seems to be having opinions about Palestine and Israel. He signed a statement supporting a pro-Palestinian protest encampment at the University of Toronto (where he is an alum) and is a supporter of the movement to divest from Israel. (He has also written articles whose titles include words like gender and intersectionality.) His opinions have caused him to be fingered by the pro-Israel website Canary Mission as "pro-Hamas" and "antisemitic".

Kalman-Lamb posted Friday:

Well, I have successfully made it in (and now, thank god, out) of the United States. Idk if/when I will be back—which is sad, because I love US folks.

Tourism has been a major industry in the US. Expect it to crater this year. The US is becoming known as a risky place to travel.

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I think Jon Ossoff has the right Democratic message in this one-and-a-half minute clip.


RFK Jr.'s war on vaccines has begun:

National Institutes of Health officials have urged scientists to remove all references to mRNA vaccine technology from their grant applications, two researchers said, in a move that signaled the agency might abandon a promising field of medical research. ... The mRNA technology is under study at the NIH for prevention and treatment of infectious diseases, including flu and AIDS, and also cancer. It was deployed in the development of covid-19 vaccines credited with saving 3 million lives in the U.S. alone — an accomplishment President Donald Trump bragged about in his first term.

A scientist at a biomedical research center in Philadelphia wrote to a colleague, in an email reviewed by KFF Health News, that a project officer at NIH had “flagged our pending grant as having an mRNA vaccine component.”

“It’s still unclear whether mRNA vaccine grants will be canceled,” the scientist added.

In some ways RFK Jr. is worse than an ideologue; he's a crank, the kind of amateur who thinks he's smarter than the consensus of the scientific community. Anti-scientific ideas get into his head and no amount of evidence will get them out.

He has already cancelled research into vaccine hesitancy, i.e., public resistance to being vaccinated. It may cost countless lives every year and allow the resurgence of previously eradicated diseases like measles, which now has more than 300 cases in Texas alone. But to him it's not a public health problem. Worse from his point of view, research would probably attribute much of the problem to disinformation-spreaders like Kennedy himself.

On the subject of cranks, I like this exchange from the 1967 version of Bedazzled.

Stanley Moon: You're a nutcase! You're a bleedin' nutcase!
George Spiggott: They said the same of Jesus Christ, Freud, and Galileo.
Stanley Moon: They said it of a lot of nutcases too.

The Guardian examines vaccine hesitancy in one American city: Sarasota.


I'll let a WaPo editorial sum up the situation in Gaza:

In Gaza, a ceasefire deal that came into effect when Trump took office — and for which he took full credit — has effectively collapsed. With Israel and Hamas at a stalemate over whether to extend the ceasefire or move on to fresh talks on ending the conflict, Netanyahu has resumed a full-scale bombing of the enclave. More than 400 Palestinians were killed and hundreds of others were injured on Tuesday, one of the deadliest days of the war.

The official death toll in Gaza is now over 50,000.

The NYT documented the losses of the Abu Naser family, four generations of which lived in a single five-story apartment building in Gaza. 132 of them died in a single Israeli attack. The entire neighborhood is now rubble.


At a time when DOGE is cancelling many government contracts, Elon Musk's businesses are in line to get much bigger contracts than they've ever had before.


The dismantling of the Department of Education has begun.


Sunday, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan jailed his most serious challenger in the next elections. Protesters across the country were met with substantial police violence. Over 1000 protesters have been arrested.

The day before, Saturday, Trump’s chief negotiator Steve Witkoff said this to Tucker Carlson:

the President had a great conversation with Erdogan a couple of days ago. Really transformational, I would describe it. I think it’s been underreported, to tell you the truth. ... I think the President has a relationship with Erdogan and that’s going to be important. And there’s some good coming – just a lot of good, positive news coming out of Turkey right now as a result of that conversation. So I think you’ll see that in the reporting in the coming days.

I have to wonder if part of the conversation was "Go ahead. Crack down on the opposition." Or if the current unrest is part of the "good news" Witkoff was expecting.


Witkoff's comments about Ukraine are also striking. Up front, he grants most of what Putin wants: Russia will get the parts of Ukraine it currently occupies. Ukraine will not join NATO. What Ukraine will get out of this deal is left vague. And he takes seriously the referendums Russia held in the occupied Ukrainian provinces, as if those were fair elections:

They’re Russian speaking. There have been referendums where the overwhelming majority of the people have indicated that they want to be under Russian rule.

He also promises to back down any time Putin threatens nuclear war, even if it means not getting a "fair deal" for Ukraine.

And while I think we have to get a fair deal for Ukraine, we cannot allow that country to drag us into World War Three.

And he completely ignores Putin's rhetoric about Ukraine being an illegitimate country that has always been part of Russia.

TUCKER CARLSON: Do you think the Russians want to march across Europe?

STEVE WITKOFF: 100% not.

TUCKER CARLSON: Why would they want that? I wouldn’t want those countries. Like, why would they.

STEVE WITKOFF: First of all, why would they want to absorb Ukraine? For what purpose, exactly? They don’t need to absorb Ukraine. That would be like occupying Gaza. Why do the Israelis really want to occupy Gaza for the rest of their lives? They don’t. They want stability there they don’t want to deal with. But the Russians also have what they want. They’ve gotten—they’ve reclaimed these five regions. They have Crimea, and they’ve gotten what they want. So why do they need more?

I don't know. After Chamberlain gave Hitler the Sudetenland at Munich, why did he need the rest of Czechoslovakia?

And the idea that Putin doesn't want to reclaim dominance over Warsaw Pact countries like Estonia and Poland, what does Witkoff base that on? And "I wouldn't want those countries"? How do Polish-Americans feel about that?


Trump is using the power of government to extort concessions from non-government institutions: Columbia University and a major law firm are the latest trophies for Trump's mantle. This is the Orban model from Hungary.

and let's close with an opportunity

You still have until Sunday to enter the National Wildlife Federation's annual photo contest. Here's the second-place photo from the bird section of last year's contest: a parakeet attacking a lizard.